Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000218 0.000244 0.000271 0.000303 0.000338 0.000376 0.000421
2025-02-02 0.000188 0.000224 0.000266 0.000316 0.000376 0.000445 0.000531
2025-02-09 0.000162 0.000205 0.000255 0.000321 0.000403 0.000503 0.000635
2025-02-16 0.000142 0.000188 0.000246 0.000324 0.000428 0.000560 0.000742
2025-02-23 0.000125 0.000172 0.000235 0.000323 0.000445 0.000608 0.000843
2025-03-02 0.000109 0.000156 0.000222 0.000318 0.000455 0.000647 0.000933
2025-03-09 0.000097 0.000145 0.000213 0.000316 0.000470 0.000691 0.001035
2025-03-16 0.000088 0.000136 0.000206 0.000316 0.000486 0.000739 0.001145
2025-03-23 0.000081 0.000128 0.000200 0.000317 0.000504 0.000790 0.001264
2025-03-30 0.000073 0.000120 0.000193 0.000315 0.000515 0.000832 0.001372
2025-04-06 0.000068 0.000115 0.000189 0.000317 0.000533 0.000885 0.001502
2025-04-13 0.000063 0.000109 0.000185 0.000319 0.000550 0.000936 0.001633
2025-04-20 0.000057 0.000102 0.000178 0.000315 0.000558 0.000976 0.001754
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000101 0.000180 0.000328 0.000599 0.001076 0.001987
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.000097 0.000178 0.000333 0.000624 0.001150 0.002182
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000094 0.000176 0.000336 0.000646 0.001222 0.002381
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000089 0.000171 0.000336 0.000661 0.001280 0.002557
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000083 0.000164 0.000330 0.000665 0.001318 0.002699
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000079 0.000159 0.000328 0.000677 0.001372 0.002877
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000076 0.000156 0.000328 0.000692 0.001435 0.003080
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000073 0.000153 0.000329 0.000711 0.001504 0.003302
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000070 0.000149 0.000327 0.000721 0.001558 0.003496
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000067 0.000147 0.000329 0.000741 0.001634 0.003745